Martin Armstrong — The Guru for Amateur Investors
Disclaimer: I am receiving NO compensation, monetary or otherwise, directly or indirectly, from Martin Armstrong for giving my opinion. However, I do receive commissions from Amazon on publications purchased through the links on this page.
Martin Armstrong’s Investment Philosophy
The basic approach I have always used in analysis is to look for repetitive patterns. I discovered long ago that the patterns that repeat in a given market are by no means limited to that market. Whenever we look at a chart of the historical price movement of the Dow Jones Industrial Index or pork bellies, the common denominator remains; we are not looking at an instrument at all, but at a record of human interaction with that particular instrument. Therefore, whatever we find in one market, with its abrupt booms and busts, will also exist in all other markets.
From Introduction in “The Cycle of War & the Coronavirus” (published December 2020).
Easy Accessibility
Difficulty in Grasping
His Reading of the Market Is Unparalleled – My Results
Still, just knowing whether market moves are temporary or the start of a trend is extremely helpful for timing when you enter the market. As the Brexit campaign was unfolding in 2016, with all the predictions of doom for the London financial industry, Armstrong maintained that the opposite was true and that Brexit would be a boon for the U.K. Then, when the surprising Brexit result happened in June 2016, U.K. financial stocks crashed. Based on Armstrong’s analysis (from his free blog), I purchased Barclays stock, and I was able to get a 50% return just six months later when the stock price recovered because things turned out to not be so bad after all — just like he predicted.
In his April 2016 blog post entitled “Chicago Baseball,” he explained how cycles can also be applied to sports, adding, “they [Chicago Cubs] remain in a trending-higher consolidation pattern that will ultimately surprise everyone and score a miracle victory.” The Cubs won the World Series on November 2, 2016. I know for a fact that he made this prediction BEFORE the result because, after reading this public blog post, I was debating whether to put a bet on the Cubs, but I didn’t have any available funds at the time…
His pay site includes a Global Market Watch (GMW) index that is based on pattern recognition, but this is intended as an alert system and not a trading tool. I can attest that the GMW comments will change significantly due to market movements after the fact, which makes it useless for short-term trades.
And so, most recently, I have been trading by using a combination of the GMW, Martin’s own prognostications (from his free and pay blog), and his pay-site market indicators – Gold for mining companies, Energy for oil companies — to parlay these into trades at the best timing. My timing has been slightly off many times, but the long-term prognostications by the GMW and Martin have been accurate for me so far (small sample size).
Learn Economics from a Real-world Trader
Manipulating the World Economy (5th edition)
The Plot to Seize Russia
Mark Antony & Cleopatra
One common thread in Martin Armstrong’s books on history is how these events of the past exhibit striking parallels to current events.
The Cycle of War and the Coronavirus
The global economy deteriorated in a matter of months due to governments’ mishandling of the coronavirus outbreak. General observers may describe this event as “unforeseen,” but they fail to look at the patterns of the past that reveal the future. Cyclical behavior dominates every facet of our world, including warfare, civil unrest, and even pandemics. “The Cycle of War and the Coronavirus” is the most comprehensive review of the war cycle from the beginning of recorded history. The civil unrest prevailing on a worldwide basis can be traced to events of the past, as it is cyclically on time for a revolution. However, the current pandemic is by no means a natural occurrence-this a deliberate attempt to radicalize the world in the vision of those pulling strings behind the curtain. This book exposes the truth, explaining why the coronavirus outbreak destroyed the global economy, the culprits, and what we can expect in the short-term and long-term volatile future.
China on the Rise
By 2032, China will dethrone the United States to become the world’s leading economic powerhouse. This cycle has been exasperated by government mismanagement and failed economic policies centered in socialism. With special attention to the Chinese yuan and Shanghai composite, this report examines how, when, and why China will become the new financial capital of the world.
Here are some reviews:
Review: Martin Armstrong, “China on the Rise”
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNdLqdsBQPbIIDT-XOxnCXQ
and
Socrates Subscriber Testimonials
https://armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com/p/socrates-subscriber.html
Martin Armstrong’s Socrates is difficult to use and takes years to learn. Here is a resource that helps you reduce that effort and cost:
The Lucky Armstrong Socrates Blog
luckysocrates.blogspot.com
JapanDude, who are the few select ones, besides Armstrong, that you also follow?
I get a lot of my news from the website ZeroHedge.com, which admittedly leans conservative/libertarian, but is still less political than typical news outlets like Fox, CNN, MSNBC, etc. There are also some contributor/advertisers there, including some goldbugs, and so you need to take their commentary with a grain of salt. In my opinion, gold is great as a store of value in temporary crises, but it does not compare to stocks + dividends over the long term — it’s important just to find the right growth sector going forward (i.e. semiconductors, AI, energy, etc.). Also, bitcoin may now serve the same purpose as gold, but be better because it cannot be confiscated since it is not physical. Just my opinion.
do you follow any specific good sources which are more focused than zerohedge, which is mostly “the large picture” (I follow Premium as well).
I don’t follow any other “large picture” sources because it’s been difficult to find anyone who is consistently accurate. For short-term trades, I am currently following Ripster on X. He does mostly day trades and some “swing trades” — trades that are held for multiple days or weeks.